Free tool

Bull vs. Bear

Bull vs. Bear is a prediction game: you see a chart and guess whether the next candle rises or falls. Your hit rate and streak quickly show how hard “reading charts” really is. The prices in the game are pure chance, so the next candle cannot be read from the chart. That is why any trading rule should be tested statistically before you rely on it.

Free, no sign-up, runs in your browser. For illustration only; not investment advice.

🔮 Bull vs. Bear

You see a chart. Will the next candle go up or down? Build your streak and notice how hard “reading” a chart really is.

Round: 0 Hits: 0 Hit rate: — Streak: 0

Over many rounds almost everyone ends up near 50%. The prices here are pure chance: whatever you think you see in a chart has to be tested statistically first.

Read more: Chart-Patterns systematisch: Head-and-Shoulders, Triangles, Flags algorithmisch (German) · Confirmation Bias im Trading: nur sehen, was die These bestätigt (German)

This is one of 25 free trading calculators and games. Want models like this on your own data, with real backtests and a live connection?

Get in touch

Each round draws a fresh price path of 61 points that starts at 100. Every step is an independent random move of up to about 1.5% in either direction, with a tiny upward tilt: the next candle rises with a probability of 51%. You see the path without its last step and guess the direction. The chart is scaled only to the points you can see, so its edge does not give the hidden candle away. After your guess, the last segment appears in green (up) or red (down), and a new chart follows about a second later.

Your hit rate is hits divided by rounds. Because every step is independent of everything before it, no way of reading this chart can improve your odds: always pressing Up ends near 51% over many rounds, and any other approach ends near 50%. Streaks of four or five correct guesses happen regularly by luck alone. Your best streak is stored only in your browser.

Real markets are not a pure coin toss, but the game shows a real trap: a pattern you believe you see is not evidence. Before you trust a chart rule, test it on enough historical data, including costs. The game is for illustration only and says nothing about your trading ability.